Description

This analysis provides a forecast of JASMY prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-12-29 0.018038 0.022788 0.029122 0.038495 0.052599 0.074137 0.112104
2025-01-05 0.012114 0.016774 0.023916 0.036523 0.060509 0.110782 0.253284
2025-01-12 0.009462 0.013836 0.021145 0.035659 0.068493 0.158669 0.589011
2025-01-19 0.008243 0.012639 0.020568 0.038167 0.085753 0.266074 2.324276
2025-01-26 0.007542 0.012071 0.020847 0.042579 0.113804 0.522679 46.966244
2025-02-02 0.006984 0.011597 0.021114 0.047190 0.151128 1.166544 NaN
2025-02-09 0.006260 0.010636 0.020032 0.047569 0.173979 2.192703 NaN
2025-02-16 0.005685 0.009857 0.019136 0.048067 0.200669 4.775324 NaN
2025-02-23 0.005187 0.009145 0.018212 0.048026 0.226670 12.166360 NaN
2025-03-02 0.004651 0.008269 0.016686 0.045148 0.228114 22.661670 NaN
2025-03-09 0.004259 0.007652 0.015694 0.043854 0.242199 76.158757 NaN
2025-03-16 0.004022 0.007338 0.015423 0.045287 0.289286 143029.365875 NaN
2025-03-23 0.003723 0.006893 0.014835 0.045756 0.341568 NaN NaN
2025-03-30 0.003369 0.006282 0.013679 0.043252 0.351003 NaN NaN
2025-04-06 0.003104 0.005841 0.012909 0.042161 0.383545 NaN NaN
2025-04-13 0.002978 0.005705 0.012990 0.045331 0.532337 NaN NaN
2025-04-20 0.002907 0.005690 0.013431 0.050955 0.869071 NaN NaN
2025-04-27 0.002834 0.005657 0.013814 0.056893 1.509306 NaN NaN
2025-05-04 0.002680 0.005398 0.013392 0.057384 1.952763 NaN NaN
2025-05-11 0.002544 0.005168 0.013021 0.058029 2.604951 NaN NaN
2025-05-18 0.002412 0.004935 0.012590 0.057976 3.371203 NaN NaN
2025-05-25 0.002249 0.004603 0.011754 0.054256 3.217999 NaN NaN
2025-06-01 0.002124 0.004363 0.011209 0.052591 3.593605 NaN NaN